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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
@brhea Awwww yeaaaaah! What a beauty.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
RT
RT @tylertringas: Gonna discuss indie shutting down and future of VC alternatives. Not totally sure what I think so hop in with questions o…
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
RT
RT @swissmiss: I keep coming back to @johnmaeda's 4 Rules:

1. don’t speak ill of others
2. avoid passive aggressive behavior
3. listen br…
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @xakpc
@xakpc Yes. A genuine interest in what you're pursuing is a prerequisite too.

But genuine interest without market demand won't work.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
RT
RT @mijustin: There's a big difference between baking a cake you think people might want, and baking a cake you see people buying and eatin…
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
RT
RT @bryanl: I often find myself in a position where I don’t know what to do next. This is normal. In basketball, you dribble, shoot free th…
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @jessewldn
@jessewldn @viamirror When you buy an NFT do you also get the intellectual property rights?

For example, if I bought the Nyan Cat GIF, do I also get to print t-shirts, posters, stickers with it?
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Anyway, I think this kind of questioning is helpful.

In the science community, they regularly re-examine old ideas, challenge their beliefs, and stress-test theories.

We need this in bootstrapping too!

It's good to look critically at our axioms and ask if they're still useful.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
RT
RT @mijustin: Here are some reasonable questions to ask, which never really get addressed by "Long, slow, SaaS ramp of death."

- How long…
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mariepoulin
@mariepoulin Lol.

It's both an impossible question, and a necessary question.

Because humans want to know: "Am I on the right path?"

In SaaS, it's a reasonable question: "Does my business have the right fundamentals to achieve the scale that I want?"
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mariepoulin
@mariepoulin Yes! And, it's really difficult to quantify what's normal in bootstrapping. 😅

Difficult to measure what's most common for people starting SaaS.

(and even more difficult to know if we should including "everybody whoever starts a SaaS" in our sample).
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Here are some reasonable questions to ask, which never really get addressed by "Long, slow, SaaS ramp of death."

- How long are we talking about? 5 years? 10 years?
- How slow is too slow?
- If scale needed is small, how is ramp affected?
- How do you know when you should quit?
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Also @ianlandsman:

"At the time, this idea ('long slow SaaS ramp') was especially helpful for founders who had previously sold installable software, where you get the revenue up-front. We weren't used to revenue taking so long to scale."
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Good point by @ianlandsman:

"When that talk came out, this was a new idea ('building a subscription business takes time to ramp up'). These days, it's a given. Most founders know that if you start at $30 in MRR, it's going to take a while to hit scale."

💯
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mariepoulin
@mariepoulin I agree that there's a ramp for all SaaS.

But what's not clear is:

- "What does reaching scale mean? How is it different for a VC-backed company like CC, vs an indie founder?"
- "How slow is too slow?"
- "How do you know when to quit?"
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @ianlandsman
@ianlandsman The part I'm objecting to is that it's always going to be a "long and slow" ramp.

The fact that it's a ramp is definitely true.

I'd put it this way:

"Your revenue needs to ramp up to profitability. That shouldn't take too long, or you'll end up broke or burnt out."
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @ianlandsman
@ianlandsman Ok. But how "long" is too long?

How "slow" is too slow?

When should you quit?

Absent clarification there, it's really a helpful rubric.

There's always a ramp, but some folks get there in 2 months. Others it takes 10+ years. What are we optimizing for?
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @ianlandsman
@ianlandsman What does it mean, practically?

Like, what practical advice should a new founder take away from that talk?

What does "long" mean?
What does "slow" mean?
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Almost every endeavor will have "the dip," where your initial enthusiasm wears off, and the going gets tough.

It's probably a better rubric for bootstrappers; especially since Godin talks a lot about the importance of quitting.

Not everything is worth a slow slog.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
It seems many SaaS founders think the "long, slow, SaaS ramp of death" means:

"When you're starting out, it takes a long time to build MRR to 'default alive' [3-6 years?], but growing slow is just part of the game."

I don't think that belief is helpful (or even broadly true).
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @typeoneerror
@typeoneerror In one way, you *want* survivorship bias when studying SaaS.

These are the SaaS that "made it," but that's also what most founders want!

If we include "all founders who start a company" the data isn't going to be helpful either; because failure in business has multiple causes.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @asmartbear
@asmartbear Exactly. 🎯

I’m talking to the big cross-section of founders who are looking to get to $100k - $1 million in ARR.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @asmartbear
@asmartbear Interesting, because I often see “long, slow, SaaS ramp of death” invoked when folks have just started their biz.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @_rchase_
@_rchase_ Yes, and remember Gail’s talk was also “in retrospect.”

For Constant Contact, it felt like a “long slow ramp.”

For you (and many others) it was clearly pretty fast in retrospect!
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @earthlingworks
@earthlingworks @robwalling That still seems a lot different than the way the “slow ramp” has been adopted.

If “slow ramp” for CC meant 3-6 years + $21 million in capital, I’m not sure how instructive it is as a model for bootstrappers.

(Most bootstrappers don’t have 3-6 years, or that kind of capital)
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @robwalling
@robwalling @earthlingworks Sure: but in retrospect it happened fast! 😜

In reality we went from “launch to $20k MRR” in about a year.

When you have a family + mortgage anything that takes longer than a month feels slow. 😂

If it took 3+ years we’d be dead.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @robwalling
@robwalling @ianlandsman I’m still confused: why are we using a model/metaphor for indie bootstrappers that came from a public corp building SaaS in early 2000s, who needed $21 million in capital to reach profitability?

I think it’s ok to question the underlying assumptions there. 😉
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @MJB_SF
@MJB_SF It's true!

(And often, I'm thinking from the perspective of a small bootstrapper. So I'm often assuming "1-2 people building a tiny company")
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
I'm mostly looking at this from the perspective of a small (1-5 person) company.

The minimum bar is much lower (and often easier/faster to reach) when you're an indie bootstrapper.

When you're small, the revenue needed to hit profitability might be $100k/year!
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @MJB_SF
@MJB_SF True, that's a big part!

I'm mostly looking at this from the perspective of a small (1-5 person) company.

The minimum bar is much lower (and often easier/faster to reach) when you're an indie bootstrapper.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
My biggest concern with the "long slow SaaS ramp of death" is that new founders take it as gospel.

They treat slow growth as a positive signal (when really, it's a false-positive).
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Constant Contact's experience isn't a good model for most indie SaaS.

"Every $30k we added in MRR required 1 additional engineer and $15K in sales and marketing." 😳

"We achieved profitability at 15,000 customers. Problem was, it took $21 million of capital to get to that." 🤯
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
In 2000, the costs for starting a SaaS were a lot higher too:

"We had to license our billing system for $250k. Now, you can get it online for pennies."

The SaaS ramp was "long and slow" partly because tooling was expensive, complex, and time-intensive to implement.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
If we go back to Gail's story, this is what "slow ramp of death" looked like at CC:

Oct 2000: launched
Apr 2001: 100 customers
Sept 2001: 1000 customers

Seems pretty fast actually! What's the problem?

Scale. "We had 25 employees; we weren't even close to covering our costs."
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Bootstrapping is different from VC-funded/public companies:

1. Scale needed for profitability: a bootstrapped SaaS can be really small (1-2 people). No investors to appease!

2. Runway: bootstrapped founders don't have a lot of money. They don't have years to "find their way."
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
I'm not sure if Constant Contact's "long slow SaaS ramp of death" story is applicable to bootstrappers.

- $107 Million IPO in 2007.
- Spearheaded a brand new category for SMBs (email marketing).
- Acquisition was largely done through radio + Chamber of Commerce presentations
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
SaaS is more established now than it was in 2012.

We no longer have to explain to potential customers:

a) what SaaS is
b) that it's secure
c) that they can trust us with their credit card info

Hundreds of millions of consumers and businesses have used SaaS at this point.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
I think, as bootstrappers, we need to abandon the "long slow SaaS ramp of death" trope.

1. That talk is nearly 20 years old (lots has changed)
2. I'm not sure it ever really applied to most successful bootstrapped businesses? 🤔
3. For many SaaS I know, the ramp was pretty fast.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
@LastPass hey, you folks testing out some dynamic pricing? 😅

Seems broken on my end.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
“Many devs make bad customers.”

Every group has bad customers.

I’m not convinced that devs are over-represented here.

(So far, I’ve found devs to be some of my best customers, the easiest to serve, and the most helpful with feedback)
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @samuelstancl
@samuelstancl * many people make bad customers in general 😜

I’m not convinced that devs are over represented here.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
I’ve observed quite a few niches, and I’ve never seen anything as good as the dev market.

- Market size
- Ability to pay
- Easy to reach
- Willingness to pay

The total amount of money being spent in the sector is massive.

Lots of opportunity on both the Prosumer and B2B side.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @samuelstancl
@samuelstancl I’ve observed quite a few niches, and I’ve never seen anything as good as the dev market.

- Market size
- Ability to pay
- Easy to reach
- Willingness to pay

The total amount of money being spent in the sector is massive.

Lots of opportunity on both the Prosumer and B2B side.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @samuelstancl
@samuelstancl “It’s absolutely not true that they have a low pain tolerance and would rather pay.”

The sales numbers I’ve seen for Tailwind, Laravel Forge, Sidekiq, Alpine/Livewire, Tuple would disagree with you. 😉
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @autiomaa
@autiomaa Are salaries getting smaller?

Do you have a source for that? I’d like to take a look.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Anecdotally, I suspect that devs are funding a big portion of the creator economy (Patreon, private podcasts, Substacks, GitHub sponsors).

They have a lot of disposable income, and philosophically like the idea of supporting indie makers.

(Any thoughts on this @ljin18?)
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @autiomaa
@autiomaa That’s a slightly different issue.

I think most white collar jobs are like this though, no?
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
Also, today’s devs aren’t the same people who lived through the tech bubble crash of the early 2000s.

The demand for devs is going to continue to accelerate. Salaries at FAANG companies are $350k-$500k.

The incentives are there for individual devs (and companies) to level up.
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Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson@mijustin
Replying to @mijustin
The “software developer” market has other advantages:

1. Many efficient, low-cost distribution channels.

2. Lots of existing networks (Twitter) and communities (HN, http://Dev.to, Reddit).

3. High salaries create knock-on effects that effect pricing + demand.
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